he's ahead in both states, but certainly not by those kinds of numbers. stuart: i'm inclined to look internally at the polls, who exactly is being polled? we were told by karl rove yesterday that if you look at those internals, they are he' actually polling more democrats than republicans. and they make the assumption that the voting patterns will be the same this year as they were in 2008 and that's a false assumption in my opinion. >> well, there are a lot of really legitimate issues, stuart. how many people do you poll who are on land lines or cell phones? how many african-americans do you put in your sample and especially, how many self-identified democrats as opposed to republicans. the poll takers, just about all of them, will tell you that they go on what people identify themselves as and more people right now are saying that they're democrats. but i tend to look at the real clear politics average that's got obama up by 3.8, i think this morning, and rasmussen goss a very good job, but even rasmussen on tuesday or monday, had obama winning by 12 in